Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 8.291204e-05 1.041488e-04 0.000128 0.000155 0.000186 0.000220 0.000260
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 5.757222e-05 8.333169e-05 0.000114 0.000153 0.000200 0.000253 0.000318
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.149994e-05 6.787492e-05 0.000102 0.000147 0.000203 0.000270 0.000353
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.132932e-05 5.803753e-05 0.000095 0.000146 0.000212 0.000293 0.000398
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.410940e-05 5.032406e-05 0.000089 0.000144 0.000219 0.000312 0.000434
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.763775e-05 4.240342e-05 0.000081 0.000140 0.000222 0.000327 0.000466
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.278084e-05 3.572515e-05 0.000074 0.000135 0.000223 0.000337 0.000493
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 9.185485e-06 3.034368e-05 0.000069 0.000132 0.000225 0.000350 0.000521
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.976148e-06 2.447786e-05 0.000061 0.000125 0.000222 0.000354 0.000538
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.914528e-06 2.314396e-05 0.000061 0.000129 0.000235 0.000380 0.000585
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.119002e-06 2.217102e-05 0.000062 0.000135 0.000249 0.000408 0.000634
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.314591e-06 2.085752e-05 0.000062 0.000138 0.000261 0.000433 0.000679
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.468436e-06 1.565580e-05 0.000055 0.000134 0.000265 0.000455 0.000732
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.451261e-07 1.191735e-05 0.000049 0.000131 0.000273 0.000483 0.000793
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.107729e-07 8.530569e-06 0.000043 0.000126 0.000275 0.000500 0.000840
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.482830e-09 6.461043e-06 0.000040 0.000125 0.000283 0.000528 0.000902
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 4.853158e-06 0.000037 0.000124 0.000291 0.000555 0.000961
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 3.298626e-06 0.000033 0.000120 0.000294 0.000574 0.001011
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 2.143487e-06 0.000029 0.000116 0.000296 0.000591 0.001057
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 1.346107e-06 0.000026 0.000112 0.000299 0.000610 0.001106
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 6.673938e-07 0.000022 0.000106 0.000295 0.000617 0.001138
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 5.239067e-07 0.000022 0.000110 0.000312 0.000658 0.001221
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 4.233892e-07 0.000022 0.000115 0.000330 0.000701 0.001307